Warner Bros. Pictures’ “Aquaman” seems to be the must-see title going into the Christmas holiday with the film on track to earn up to $70 million from Friday to Sunday and up to $120 million by the end of Christmas Day on Tuesday. Advance ticket sales for the film are already outpacing “Wonder Woman” by the same point in its release.
“Aquaman” came in at a costly $200 million budget but by today will have made that much in China alone since its release a week-and-a-half ago. So far the film is on track for a $300 million worldwide haul with that number set to swell once it opens in most territories this week.
“Mary Poppins Returns,” which opens tomorrow, is expected to glide in with a $35 million weekend and a full first week total of $75 million.
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” is holding well with the film looking to drop only 35% for its second three-day weekend with $23 million. “Bumblebee” will debut to a somewhat soft $20-25 million for the three-day and around $40 million for the five-day.
All are faring better than the J-Lo rom-com “Second Act” which is expected to earn $10-13 million over the five-day run, but as it cost just $15 million to make it’ll do fine. “Welcome to Marwen” will be Universal’s second December dud in a row with the CG-heavy Robert Zemeckis film tracking to earn just under $10 million for the five-day.
Will Ferrell & John C. Reilly’s “Holmes & Watson” comedy and the Christian Bale-led “Vice” open on Christmas Day with the films on track for $5 million and $4 million opening days respectively.
The predictions come as Peter Jackson’s WWI restored footage doco “They Shall Not Grow Old” pulled in an impressive $2.3 million for its first night, two-session run for Fathom Events in the United States. That was Fathom’s largest event year-to-do date at the box-office. Warners will open the film in limited release on January 11th.