Hard to believe but Disney’s “Frozen” opened in second place when it arrived six years ago, a slightly disappointing start quickly mitigated by the film’s runaway success as a pop culture phenomenon and massive $1.27 billion worldwide box-office hit.
There won’t be any such surprise though with “Frozen II” which is expected to easily dominate its opening weekend with a large debut. Today, Box-Office Pro have posted the first long-range tracking estimates and have the film looking to launch with a start in the $115-$145 million range with $125 million their best guess at this point.
Such an opening would be essentially double the opening weekend of the first film and the fourth-biggest opening weekend of the year, ahead of “Toy Story 4” but behind “Captain Marvel”. It would also be a massive improvement on “Ralph Breaks the Internet” which Disney Animated debuted to a $56.2 million opening weekend last year.
“Frozen II” is opening November 22nd with very little competition that weekend and no real rival blockbusters until “Jumanji: The Next Level” and “Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker” which both debut well into December.
Disney has “Maleficent: Mistress of Evil” to release before that though, and that film isn’t going to fare so well – currently it’s on track for a $50 million opening weekend debut next month – down by about 25% from its predecessor.